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EU Crafts $962 Billion Show of Force to Halt Euro Crisis

By James G. Neuger and Meera Louis
May 10 (Bloomberg) — European policy makers unveiled an unprecedented loan package worth almost $1 trillion and a program of bond purchases as they spearheaded a global drive to stop a sovereign-debt crisis that threatened to shatter confidence in the euro.
Jolted into action by last week’s slide in the currency and soaring bond yields in Portugal and Spain, the 16 euro nations agreed to offer financial assistance worth as much as 750 billion euros ($962 billion) to countries under attack from speculators. The European Central Bank will counter “severe tensions” in “certain” markets by purchasing government and private debt.
“The message has gotten through: the euro zone will defend its money,” French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde told reporters in Brussels early today after the 14-hour meeting.
Under pressure from the U.S. and Asia to stabilize markets, the European governments gambled that the show of financial force would prevent a sovereign-debt crisis and muffle speculation that the 11-year-old euro might break apart.
The two-pronged offensive pushed up the euro 1.4 percent to $1.2931 as of 11:12 a.m. in Tokyo. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average climbed 1.3 percent to 10,499.25.
3-D Shock and Awe
“This is Shock and Awe, Part II and in 3-D,” Marco Annunziata, chief economist at UniCredit Group in London, said in an e-mailed note. “This truly is overwhelming force, and should be more than sufficient to stabilize markets in the near term, prevent panic and contain the risk of contagion.”
The steps came after failure to contain Greece’s fiscal crisis triggered a 4.1 percent drop in the euro last week, the biggest weekly decline since the aftermath of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.’s collapse. European stocks sank the most in 18 months, with the Stoxx Europe 600 Index tumbling 8.8 percent to 237.18.
The ripple effect in the U.S., including a brief 1,000- point drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average on May 6, prompted President Barack Obama to call German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy to urge “resolute steps” to prevent the crisis from cascading around the world.
Under the loan package, euro-area governments pledged 440 billion euros in loans or guarantees, with 60 billion euros more in loans from the EU’s budget and as much as 250 billion euros from the International Monetary Fund.
European Stability
“I think they will have bought themselves a significant amount of time to do the right thing,” said Barry Eichengreen, an economics professor at the University of California, Berkeley.
Markets worldwide are reeling from Europe’s debt saga. Gold rose to a near-record of $1,214.90 an ounce in New York last week, and the MSCI World Index of equities dropped to a three- month low. Investors fleeing European markets parked money in U.S. Treasuries, pushing the 10-year note yield down 23 basis points to 3.43 percent.
In a step that skirts EU rules barring direct central bank lending to governments, the ECB said it will conduct “interventions” to ensure “depth and liquidity” in markets. The purchases will be sterilized, meaning they won’t increase the overall money supply in the financial system.
ECB Life
“This sets a precedent for the rest of the life of the Central Bank and will have likely surprised even the most seasoned observers,” said Jacques Cailloux, chief European economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc in London. “While the ECB’s intervention might attract bad press regarding its mandate and independence, we believe that this was necessary to short circuit the negative feedback loop which was getting more and more threatening for the global economy. ”
The ECB also reactivated unlimited fixed-rate offerings of three month loans, a key tool in the ECB’s efforts to fight the credit crisis. It will also reactivate dollar swaps with the Federal Reserve.
In Brussels, finance ministers from the 16-nation euro region — joined by ministers from the 11 EU countries outside the euro — raced against time to weld the contingency lending arrangements before markets opened in Asia.
Inability to craft a convincing package in time would have left deficit-plagued countries at the mercy of the “wolfpack behavior” of speculators, Finance Minister Anders Borg of Sweden, a non-euro member, said as the meeting began.
War Chest
The new war chest would be used for countries like Portugal or Spain in case their finances buckle. Deficits are set to reach 8.5 percent of gross domestic product in Portugal and 9.8 percent in Spain this year, above the euro region’s 3 percent limit. Both countries pledged “significant” additional budget cuts in 2010 and 2011, which will be outlined in May, an EU statement said.
The extra yield that investors demand to hold Greek, Portuguese and Spanish debt instead of benchmark German bonds rose to euro-era highs last week. The premium on 10-year government bonds jumped as high as 973 basis points for Greece, 354 basis points for Portugal and 173 basis points for Spain.
Greece, the epicenter of the debt crisis, has already won a 110 billion-euro aid package after agreeing to unprecedented austerity measures. The cuts sparked riots in Athens last week, leading to three deaths and stoking concerns that the government won’t be able to implement all the steps.
European governments endorsed their 80 billion-euro share last week, and the IMF cleared the way to pay its 30 billion- euro share yesterday.
Stiffest Test
Europe’s financial leaders sought to master the euro’s stiffest test since its debut in 1999 without wheelchair-bound Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble of Germany, Europe’s largest economy, who was rushed to a hospital soon after the meeting started due to an adverse reaction to new medication. Interior Minister Thomas de Maiziere got on a last-minute flight to Brussels to take his place.
As Merkel’s cabinet held a late-night meeting in Berlin on the euro rescue, her party unexpectedly lost control of Germany’s most populous state in a regional election, potentially costing her a majority in the upper house of the federal parliament.
Goaded by Germany, the ministers made a fresh commitment to closer monitoring of government finances and more rigorous enforcement of the deficit-limitation rules.
The vow to push budget shortfalls below the euro’s 3 percent limit echoes promises that have been regularly broken ever since governments in 1999 set a three-year deadline for achieving balanced budgets. The euro region’s overall deficit is forecast at 6.6 percent of gross domestic product in 2010 and 6.1 percent in 2011.
Britain, the EU’s third-largest economy, won’t contribute to a euro rescue fund, though it backs efforts to restore stability, Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling said.
“When it comes to supporting the euro, that is for the eurogroup countries,” Darling told Sky News. ΠρωτοσελιδαΕιδήσεις

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